Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, post?) is independent from winning or losing on additional scratch ticket, you treat each event as an independent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent ordeals. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the chance of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after (if that must be your problem is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately 5.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 out of 10 million, which boils down to 1 chance out of 192,307.

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